基于LOF-SMOTE算法的地下水影响下矿山岩溶塌陷风险预测研究

Study on risk prediction of mine karst collapse under the influence of groundwater based on LOF-SMOTE algorithm

  • 摘要: 矿山岩溶地表塌陷成因复杂,形式多样,为准确预测矿山岩溶塌陷,结合岩溶发育机理,本研究提出基于LOF和SMOTE算法的BP神经网络预测模型。首先通过LOF算法剔除因非自然原因而产生的异常数据,再通过SMOTE算法对剔除后的数据进行过采样,合成新数据,以增加样本数目,最后采用BP神经网络模型对矿山岩溶塌陷进行预测。结果表明,实际工程数据经过预处理后的预测模型,与部分小样本预测模型相比,具有更高的预测精度,可为在其他工程中应用提供参考。

     

    Abstract: The causes of mine karst surface collapse are complex and diverse. To accurately predict karst collapse in mines, combined with the karst development mechanism, a BP neural network prediction model based on the LOF and SMOTE algorithms is proposed. In this model, the abnormal data due to unnatural reasons were first removed by LOF algotithm. The removed data were then oversampled by SMOTE algorithm, thereby synthesizing new data to increase the number of samples. Finally, the BP neural network model was used to predict the mine karst collapse. The results show that the preprocessed prediction model of the actual engineering data has higher prediction accuracy than some small sample prediction models, which provides a reference for its application in other projects.

     

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