基于Bi-LSTMSA融合模型的多台阶高陡边坡变形预测

Deformation prediction of multi-step high and steep slope based on Bi-LSTM and SA fusion model

  • 摘要: 露天矿边坡变形易受岩石类型、岩体结构特征、水文地质、自然环境与采矿活动等因素影响,进而造成边坡变形监测数据具有高度的时序关联性、时变性、高维性及非线性等特点。针对传统边坡变形预测模型无法挖掘监测数据序列前后依赖性的问题,提出了一种双向长短期记忆网络(Bi-LSTM)与自注意力机制(SA)融合算法的多台阶高陡边坡变形预测模型,实现对多台阶高陡边坡变形的有效预测。结果表明:在相同的输入条件下,相较于BP神经网络、LSTM模型与Bi-LSTM模型预测结果,Bi-LSTM-SA融合模型对多台阶高边坡在3个监测方向的变形预测结果整体预测误差更小,Bi-LSTM-SA融合模型的预测结果与实测结果更为接近;Bi-LSTM-SA融合模型预测性能更强,而且还表现出了更好的稳定性与鲁棒性。

     

    Abstract: Factors such as rock type, structural characteristics of the rock body, hydrogeology, natural environment, and mining activities easily affect the deformation of open pit slopes, resulting in a high degree of temporal correlation, time-varying, high-dimensional, and non-linear characteristics of the slope deformation monitoring data. Aiming at the problem of traditional slope deformation prediction models being unable to exploit the back-and-forth dependence of monitoring data series, a multi-step high steep slope deformation prediction model with a fusion network of bi-directional long and short-term memory network (Bi-LSTM) and self-attention mechanism (SA) was proposed, which takes the advantages of Bi-LSTM network mining the pre and post dependence of monitoring data and SA network analyzing the correlation between monitoring data. The effective prediction of multi-step high and steep slope deformation was realized. The results show that, under the same input conditions, compared with the prediction results of the BP neural network, LSTM model and Bi-LSTM model, the overall prediction error of the Bi-LSTM-SA fusion model for the deformation prediction results of multi-step high slope in three monitoring directions is smaller. The prediction results of Bi-LSTM-SA fusion model are closer to the measured results. The Bi-LSTM-SA fusion model has better prediction performance, stability and robustness.

     

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