暴雨洪水诱发地下钨矿灾害链式演化及风险分析

Chain evolution and risk analysis of enderground tungsten mine disasters induced by rainstorm and flood

  • 摘要: 暴雨洪水常导致矿山发生一系列灾害,造成重大损失和影响。本文通过分析暴雨洪水诱发地下钨矿山灾害链式演化及风险特征,识别其中灾害事件,建立灾害链式演化模型;基于复杂网络理论构建了含47个节点和176条边的灾害网络模型,随后分析节点度值、节点子网数、边脆弱性等参数,识别了灾害网络的关键点和关键边。结果表明:淹井、厂房冲毁、工业场地浸水、工业场地掩埋和工业场地破坏的重要度分别是0.328 3、0.115 4、0.109 9、0.084 5和0.084 5,是灾害网络的关键节点;地表水→地表径流、地表径流→泥石流、矿井突涌水→淹井、地表径流→崩塌滑坡和地表径流→山洪的边脆弱性分别是373.715 1、354.782 4、346.153 6、336.122 2和335.838 5,是灾害网络的关键边,据此提出了断链减灾建议。研究结果可为暴雨洪水诱发地下钨矿灾害防治提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Intense rainfall and flooding frequently cause a range of calamities in mines, resulting in substantial losses and impacts. By analyzing the disaster chain evolution and risk characteristics of the underground tungsten mine affected by rainstorms and floods, disaster events were identified and the disaster chain evolution model was established. Based on the complex network theory, a network model consisting of 47 nodes and 176 edge hazards was constructed, and then parameters such as node degree value, node subnet number and edge vulnerability were analyzed to identify the key points and edges of the disaster network. The results show that the flooded wells, factory destruction, industrial site inundation, industrial site burial, and industrial site damage are 0.328 3, 0.115 4, 0.109 9, 0.084 5 and 0.084 5, respectively. These disaster events are critical nodes in the network of a specific underground tungsten mine disaster induced by heavy rainfall and floods. Furthermore, the edge vulnerability for surface water to surface runoff, surface runoff to debris flow, the sudden influx of water into the mine to flooded wells, surface runoff to collapse landslide, and surface runoff to flash floods are 373.715 1, 354.782 4, 346.153 6, 336.122 2 and 335.838 5, respectively. The above edges are the critical edges in the network of rain-flood-induced disasters in the specific underground tungsten mine. The research findings offer a scientific basis for the prevention and disaster risk reduction of underground tungsten mine disasters induced by heavy rainfall and floods.

     

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