经济政策不确定性对经营效率的影响

Influence of economic policy uncertainty on operating efficiency——with listed companies in the non-ferrous metal industry as the case

  • 摘要: 基于经济转型和产业升级背景,利用DEA-Malmquist指数对2011—2019年我国有色金属行业上市公司经营效率进行测算,并通过Tobit受限模型检验经济政策不确定性与经营效率之间关系。研究表明,2011—2019年间有色金属行业整体经营效率下降趋势明显;经济政策不确定性与经营效率显著负相关,且主要抑制了技术进步指数;进一步分组回归结果显示,经济政策不确定性加剧了对处于产业链后端及国有产权性质企业经营效率的抑制作用。为此,政府应加强政策出台的连续性、提高信息披露的透明度,并通过明确政府性资源的分配机制、提高企业自身技术创新能力,降低经济政策不确定的负面影响。

     

    Abstract: Based on the background of economic transformation and industrial upgrading, DEA-Malmquist index is used to calculate the operating efficiency of listed companies in China's non-ferrous metal industry from 2011 to 2019. And Tobit restricted model is used to test the relationship between economic policy uncertainty and operating efficiency. The research shows that the overall operating efficiency of the non-ferrous metal industry declined obviously from 2011 to 2019. The uncertainty of economic policy is negatively correlated with the operating efficiency of listed companies, and mainly inhibits the technological progress index. Further grouping regression results show that the uncertain economic policy aggravates the restraining effect on the operating efficiency of enterprises at the back end of industrial chain and with the nature of state-owned property rights. Therefore, the government should strengthen the continuity of policy promulgation, improve the transparency of information disclosure, and reduce the negative impact of uncertain economic policies by clarifying the allocation mechanism of government resources and improving the technological innovation capability of enterprises themselves.

     

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