基于层次分析法的地质灾害危险性

Assessment of geological hazards risk based on analytic hierarchy process

  • 摘要: 以江西省九江市修水县1:5万地质灾害调查项目为依托,结合修水县区域地质环境条件及地质灾害发育概况,选取了地层岩性、地质构造、降雨量、斜坡结构类型、坡度、坡高、坡向和人类工程活动等8项指标,构成研究区地质灾害危险性评价指标体系,并在层次分析法的基础上,建立了修水县地质灾害危险性评价层次结构模型.通过构造两两判断矩阵,计算得出了各指标的权重值.最后,根据分析结果将研究区划分为高危险区、中危险区和低危险区,并进行了相应地分析与评价,结果表明:层次分析法在该区域地质灾害危险性评价中的应用效果良好,评价结果基本与野外调查结果相吻合,为修水县地质灾害的防治及城镇规划建设提供了可靠依据.

     

    Abstract: Taking 1:50, 000 geological hazards survey projects from Xiushui county, Jiujiang city in Jiangxi province as the basis, combined with regional geological conditions and geological hazards development overview in Xiushui county, selected eight indicators such as lithology, geological structure, rainfall, slope structure type, slope, high slope, aspect and human engineering activities, constitute research evaluation system of geological disasters risk.And established hierarchical model of geological hazards risk assessment in Xiushui county which based on the analytic hierarchy process.Calculated the weight of each index value by constructing a matrix of pair wise judgment.Finally, according to the analysis results, the study area is divided into high-risk areas, dangerous areas and low-risk areas, and conducted the corresponding analysis and evaluation.The results showed that: The application effects of AHP in the regional geological hazard assessment are good; and the evaluation results are basically consistent with the results of the field investigation.What's more, it will provide some references for the prevention of geological hazards and town planning and construction in Xiushui county.

     

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