中国电子废弃物产生量预测及金属积存量特征分析

Prediction of electronic waste amount and metal cumulative amount features

  • 摘要: 通过市场供给模型预测我国电视机、洗衣机、空调、电冰箱、电脑5种家用电器废弃量,并通过模块分析计算出其中所含金属量.市场供给模型预测结果表明:我国家用电器废弃量正进入一个快速增长阶段,到2020年,5种主要家用电器废弃量预计将会是2010年的3倍,2010~2020年,5种废家用电器累计产生量将超过18亿台.模块分析结果显示,2000~2020年,家用电器废弃物中铁、铝、铜积存量处于一个快速增长的阶段;其它重金属锡、铅、锌、钴积存量都呈现增长趋势;贵金属中,金呈增长趋势,银、钯呈先增加后减少的趋势.

     

    Abstract: The market supply method is applied to estimate the generation amount of five kinds of obsoleted household appliances, including TV set, washing machine, air conditioner, refrigerator and computer. The amount of metal values contained in is calculated by module analysis. The results show that the generation amount of obsolete household appliances in our country will be in a rapid growth stage, which will be three times higher in 2020 than the value in 2010, and the generation amount will exceed more than 1.8 billion units in 2010~2020. Module analysis results from 2000 to 2020 show that the amount of iron, aluminum and copper in the obsoleted household appliances is in a rapid growth stage; other heavy metals (tin, lead, zinc and cobalt) tend to increase; the precious metal gold shows a trend of increase, silver and palladium grow firstly, then decrease.

     

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