基于信息熵的南方离子型稀土开采量控制指标分析
Yield control index of southern China's ionic-adsorption rare earth based on information entropy
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摘要: 我国2006年开始下达稀土开采量控制指标, 对指导稀土生产发挥了重要作用.为了更好地理解指标变化情况, 运用信息熵理论对南方6省离子型稀土生产量控制指标分析, 结果表明指标数经历了"稳定-增长-稳定"3阶段.其中2006~2008年信息熵、均衡度和优势度变化平缓; 2008~2011年信息熵、均衡度快速上升, 优势度快速下降; 2011~2014年信息熵、均衡度和优势度再次进入平缓阶段.对指标影响因素研究, 结果表明控制管理实施情况为指标制定指引方向; 稀土精矿市场价格在2006~2011年区间段与信息熵变化趋势一致, 2012年后市场价格快速下降, 开采量指标步入稳定; 储采比变化曲线在3个阶段与信息熵曲线步调一致.从信息熵角度描述指标数变化情况, 探讨开采量指标与影响因素的变化关系, 对掌握指标数的变化趋势具有重要意义.Abstract: Yield quotas of ionic rare earth rationed by Chinese government from 2006 has played an important role in guiding rare earth productivity in China. The ionic rare earth yield quotas are analyzed in six provinces in Southern China to demonstrate the yield changes by adopting information entropy theory. The results show that the quotas have experienced stages of "stability-growth-stability". The information entropy, equilibrium degree and dominance degree changed gradually from 2006 to 2008. However, from 2008 to 2011, the information entropy and equilibrium degree rose rapidly, while the dominance degree fell fast. And then from 2011 to 2014, the information entropy, equilibrium degree and dominance degree returned to the steady stage. Researching results on factors affecting on quotas show that the control management implementation provided orientation for quota determination. Rare earth concentrate price fluctuation tendency has been consistent with information entropy variation between 2006 and 2011. After 2012, rare earth price fell dramatically with steady mining quota. The reserve-production ratios are in conformity with information entropy curve in three stages. The relationship between production quotas and influencing factors are discussed by describing the changes of the quotas from the point of information entropy, which has great significance to grasp the change trend of production quotas.